| Cheltenham tips here! 11:23 - Mar 10 with 712 views | ingeminate |
Morning all, that time of the year when no nothings like me lump on.
Done OK over the years following LFW.
Any and all tips appreciated! |  |
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| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:39 - Mar 10 with 653 views | robith |
My daily write up
Prices were correct this morning
Despite me ending up tipping mostly favs, it looks like one of the most competitive Cheltenhams ever, slow and steady will win this race
13:20 - Old Park Star 5/2 win, Talk the Talk 5/1 each way if you're a scumbag
Sometimes the answer is staring you in the face. When Henderson has a weapon in this race, it does the business. Think he's a potential superstar. Also like Talk the Talk but his run style (being produced late) may struggle with the pace Sober Glory is likely to set
14:00 - Kopek Des Bordes 6/4 win
Only 2 horses have won the arkle off 1 run, but he is simply better than all these. 5 year olds have a terrible record and I think Lulamba is a stayer not a 2 miler, Kargese a danger but she had a tough race on a swamp at the Dublin Racing Festival. Sometimes, the answer is oh I already said that
14:40 Ammes 8/1 ew
Feels weird tipping anything here - over the last ten years if you had just put £1 on every horse over 25/1 you'd be £64 up. Winston Junior hits trends but is very very short. I personally would side with Ammes. He finished a narrow 2nd to Minella Study who is 5/1 for the Triumph so 8/1 here feels strong.
But mostly pick a yoke at a big price with an A in their name and you'll outperform my record in the race lol
15:20 - Imperial Saint 25/1, Konfusion 20/1 both e/w
A very wise man has tipped Hyland to me, but I dislike how the trainer wanted to go to another race, the owners forced them to run here. I also like Resplendent Grey (winners of the Charlie Park are 1391913 in this race) but I think he might be quite exposed. This is a very trends driven race and both of these hit every single one, they simply must be played. Konfusion came out strongest in my modelling
16:00 - Lossiemouth 2/1 win, Golden Ace 12/1 ew
I personally wasn't sure that Lossiemouth has the cruising speed to go at 2m championship pace, but the cheek pieces makes me reconsider. Willie Mullins strike rate with 1st time cheek pieces is 65%, and backed blind £1 would put you £17 up. Undefeated at Cheltenham too.
Golden Ace is a great price for a place as BDA has bottled it at Cheltenham twice, and The New Lion is shit, plus she can win if it falls apart as she did last year.
16:40 - Madara, Downmexicoway 8/1 each way
Everyone in the world is backing Madara like we're about to watch the replay, but I personally love the profile of Downmexicoway, Henry has a great record in this race, looks every inch the winner to me
17:20 - Backmeorsackme 9/2 win, Holokea 33/1 ew
Not a race I love (loads of average horses trotting round a ludicrous distance) but favs have a good record here, as does Emmet Mullins who really knows how to lay one out for this.
Holokea may not be good enough, but he has comparable form against this field, and unlike many of them has run well at Cheltenham before which is a massive plus
Day One Mug Treble: Old Park Star/Kopek des Bordes/Lossiemout 25/1
Double: Downmexicoway/Backmeorsackme 51/1 [Post edited 10 Mar 11:40]
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| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:02 - Mar 10 with 569 views | wokingpaul |
Thanks so much for the tips. Be great to see similar for the rest of the week if you have the time. |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:06 - Mar 10 with 556 views | ingeminate |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:39 - Mar 10 by robith |
My daily write up
Prices were correct this morning
Despite me ending up tipping mostly favs, it looks like one of the most competitive Cheltenhams ever, slow and steady will win this race
13:20 - Old Park Star 5/2 win, Talk the Talk 5/1 each way if you're a scumbag
Sometimes the answer is staring you in the face. When Henderson has a weapon in this race, it does the business. Think he's a potential superstar. Also like Talk the Talk but his run style (being produced late) may struggle with the pace Sober Glory is likely to set
14:00 - Kopek Des Bordes 6/4 win
Only 2 horses have won the arkle off 1 run, but he is simply better than all these. 5 year olds have a terrible record and I think Lulamba is a stayer not a 2 miler, Kargese a danger but she had a tough race on a swamp at the Dublin Racing Festival. Sometimes, the answer is oh I already said that
14:40 Ammes 8/1 ew
Feels weird tipping anything here - over the last ten years if you had just put £1 on every horse over 25/1 you'd be £64 up. Winston Junior hits trends but is very very short. I personally would side with Ammes. He finished a narrow 2nd to Minella Study who is 5/1 for the Triumph so 8/1 here feels strong.
But mostly pick a yoke at a big price with an A in their name and you'll outperform my record in the race lol
15:20 - Imperial Saint 25/1, Konfusion 20/1 both e/w
A very wise man has tipped Hyland to me, but I dislike how the trainer wanted to go to another race, the owners forced them to run here. I also like Resplendent Grey (winners of the Charlie Park are 1391913 in this race) but I think he might be quite exposed. This is a very trends driven race and both of these hit every single one, they simply must be played. Konfusion came out strongest in my modelling
16:00 - Lossiemouth 2/1 win, Golden Ace 12/1 ew
I personally wasn't sure that Lossiemouth has the cruising speed to go at 2m championship pace, but the cheek pieces makes me reconsider. Willie Mullins strike rate with 1st time cheek pieces is 65%, and backed blind £1 would put you £17 up. Undefeated at Cheltenham too.
Golden Ace is a great price for a place as BDA has bottled it at Cheltenham twice, and The New Lion is shit, plus she can win if it falls apart as she did last year.
16:40 - Madara, Downmexicoway 8/1 each way
Everyone in the world is backing Madara like we're about to watch the replay, but I personally love the profile of Downmexicoway, Henry has a great record in this race, looks every inch the winner to me
17:20 - Backmeorsackme 9/2 win, Holokea 33/1 ew
Not a race I love (loads of average horses trotting round a ludicrous distance) but favs have a good record here, as does Emmet Mullins who really knows how to lay one out for this.
Holokea may not be good enough, but he has comparable form against this field, and unlike many of them has run well at Cheltenham before which is a massive plus
Day One Mug Treble: Old Park Star/Kopek des Bordes/Lossiemout 25/1
Double: Downmexicoway/Backmeorsackme 51/1 [Post edited 10 Mar 11:40]
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Nice one Robith! | |
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| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:22 - Mar 10 with 522 views | Noelmc |
Thanks Robith for the tips and the thinking behind them.
At least the next 4 afternoons will provide a bit of welcome relief from thinking about the awful state of our football club at the moment. Birmingham to win to nil tomorrow at 2-1 certainly looks a value bet at the moment. I couldn't believe Boro were not odds-on (Evens with Betfair Exchange) to win ahead of the match on Sunday. [Post edited 10 Mar 12:26]
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| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:40 - Mar 10 with 364 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:22 - Mar 10 by Noelmc |
Thanks Robith for the tips and the thinking behind them.
At least the next 4 afternoons will provide a bit of welcome relief from thinking about the awful state of our football club at the moment. Birmingham to win to nil tomorrow at 2-1 certainly looks a value bet at the moment. I couldn't believe Boro were not odds-on (Evens with Betfair Exchange) to win ahead of the match on Sunday. [Post edited 10 Mar 12:26]
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Thinking of Hunterhoop rn - he put up the Old Park Star/Sober Glory forecast to me a couple of weekends ago and he's just been nabbed | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:54 - Mar 10 with 195 views | stevec |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:40 - Mar 10 by robith |
Thinking of Hunterhoop rn - he put up the Old Park Star/Sober Glory forecast to me a couple of weekends ago and he's just been nabbed |
Great write up and good luck.
What do you think with No Drama This End tomorrow? It’s a funny looking horse that looks a bit confused at times, but I really rate it. |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:58 - Mar 10 with 176 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:54 - Mar 10 by stevec |
Great write up and good luck.
What do you think with No Drama This End tomorrow? It’s a funny looking horse that looks a bit confused at times, but I really rate it. |
As a trends guy, I'd be dead against.
Nicholls has a terrible record in this race - he got Denman beat in it ffs
Challow Hurdle winner has a dreadful record in it - New Lion last year only horse to ever do the double.
But English hurdle form looks ok based on today?
Edit to say - never let anyone talk you out of what your eyes have seen [Post edited 10 Mar 15:55]
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