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Yep. If the Americans had taken any serious hits it would be all over the news or social media by now.
There's not really an awful lot that the Iranians are likely to be capable of that can hurt them in any meaningful way. Their military budget is bigger than something like the next ten nations combined. In much the same way as football, the biggest spenders tend to have the best capability.
Most Iranians I've come into contact with have all been Christians and would be opening up a bottle of something tasty to celebrate Khameni's demise. They've all been "genuine" refugees based on what I know about them.
All for naught if there isn't an uprising. The timing still seems off to me. I know they have to move resources into place, but surely that could have been done last month?
There are also reports that the Iranian Govt is trying to close the Strait of Hormuz, although I'm not sure how they plan to do that. Any military attempt to do so would be quickly ended by one of the two carrier strike groups that the US has in the region.
In the first the US encouraged certain groups to rise up against Saddam and then completely failed to back them so most got exterminated. In the second their biggest mistake was to disband the Iraqi army and various elite units in a rushed effort to "de Baathify" the country.
All that achieved was to spread their own troops too thin to keep order and generate a large number of unemployed locals with military training and a grudge against the occupying forces.
I remain unconvinced about using Stamenic as the deep lying midfield fulcrum too. He's good at a number of things, but he's just not quick enough on the ball, either passing it or running forward himself for me.
It's related to the Galbraith situation and our midfield in general really. We've struggled to get the mix right.
We're going to have to manage Vipi's minutes until Idah is fit again so as little as I rate Cullen I can understand that call as necessary now and again.
Yalcouye has earned a start. Likewise Nunes. Widell is becoming increasingly valuable to the starting XI. Still think Key has probably earned enough trust for us to put Galbraith into midfield. Perhaps my only quibble.
You do have to wonder if the opportunity has been missed. Surely the best time to have done this was when the protests were at their height and before the Mullahs executed tens of thousands of people who might have contributed to a successful uprising?
I just think we got the midfield mix wrong. Fulton and Franco are both very good at what they do, but neither of them are really the kind of player to drive things forward. That left us with a massive gap between the midfield and the forward three (four if you include Walta) so he kept dropping deep to try and get some possession, which meant for the most part he wasn't where he needed to be when we actually did get forward.
I'd like to see him teamed up with Galbraith and Yalcouye. Second half we might have seen more from him.
Like most players at this level Viggy has weaknesses that mean he's not likely to be top level. As good as most people thought DeVries was the last time we went up there were weaknesses in his game that made him someone we'd have probably upgraded on whether he'd stayed or not. LV is in a similar category for me.
Good enough for us at the moment though. His attributes outweigh his weaknesses by some distance.
That first half performance left us with too much to do.
Yalcouye and Nunes need to be starting. Key at RB too. Galbraith is wasted and a borderline risk there. Not sure what we wanted Walta to do and he didn't appear to know either. Wasn't nearly advanced enough if he was supposed to be the AM.
Much better second half though and just about deserved a draw overall.
FWIW I don't think we'll get anything like that for front of shirt sponsorship, but even £2-3m would probably be a four fold increase on what we're getting now. Maybe more.