| Cheltenham tips here! 11:23 - Mar 10 with 3159 views | ingeminate |
Morning all, that time of the year when no nothings like me lump on.
Done OK over the years following LFW.
Any and all tips appreciated! |  |
| |  |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:39 - Mar 10 with 2872 views | robith |
My daily write up
Prices were correct this morning
Despite me ending up tipping mostly favs, it looks like one of the most competitive Cheltenhams ever, slow and steady will win this race
13:20 - Old Park Star 5/2 win, Talk the Talk 5/1 each way if you're a scumbag
Sometimes the answer is staring you in the face. When Henderson has a weapon in this race, it does the business. Think he's a potential superstar. Also like Talk the Talk but his run style (being produced late) may struggle with the pace Sober Glory is likely to set
14:00 - Kopek Des Bordes 6/4 win
Only 2 horses have won the arkle off 1 run, but he is simply better than all these. 5 year olds have a terrible record and I think Lulamba is a stayer not a 2 miler, Kargese a danger but she had a tough race on a swamp at the Dublin Racing Festival. Sometimes, the answer is oh I already said that
14:40 Ammes 8/1 ew
Feels weird tipping anything here - over the last ten years if you had just put £1 on every horse over 25/1 you'd be £64 up. Winston Junior hits trends but is very very short. I personally would side with Ammes. He finished a narrow 2nd to Minella Study who is 5/1 for the Triumph so 8/1 here feels strong.
But mostly pick a yoke at a big price with an A in their name and you'll outperform my record in the race lol
15:20 - Imperial Saint 25/1, Konfusion 20/1 both e/w
A very wise man has tipped Hyland to me, but I dislike how the trainer wanted to go to another race, the owners forced them to run here. I also like Resplendent Grey (winners of the Charlie Park are 1391913 in this race) but I think he might be quite exposed. This is a very trends driven race and both of these hit every single one, they simply must be played. Konfusion came out strongest in my modelling
16:00 - Lossiemouth 2/1 win, Golden Ace 12/1 ew
I personally wasn't sure that Lossiemouth has the cruising speed to go at 2m championship pace, but the cheek pieces makes me reconsider. Willie Mullins strike rate with 1st time cheek pieces is 65%, and backed blind £1 would put you £17 up. Undefeated at Cheltenham too.
Golden Ace is a great price for a place as BDA has bottled it at Cheltenham twice, and The New Lion is shit, plus she can win if it falls apart as she did last year.
16:40 - Madara, Downmexicoway 8/1 each way
Everyone in the world is backing Madara like we're about to watch the replay, but I personally love the profile of Downmexicoway, Henry has a great record in this race, looks every inch the winner to me
17:20 - Backmeorsackme 9/2 win, Holokea 33/1 ew
Not a race I love (loads of average horses trotting round a ludicrous distance) but favs have a good record here, as does Emmet Mullins who really knows how to lay one out for this.
Holokea may not be good enough, but he has comparable form against this field, and unlike many of them has run well at Cheltenham before which is a massive plus
Day One Mug Treble: Old Park Star/Kopek des Bordes/Lossiemout 25/1
Double: Downmexicoway/Backmeorsackme 51/1 [Post edited 10 Mar 11:40]
|  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:02 - Mar 10 with 2788 views | wokingpaul |
Thanks so much for the tips. Be great to see similar for the rest of the week if you have the time. |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:06 - Mar 10 with 2775 views | ingeminate |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:39 - Mar 10 by robith |
My daily write up
Prices were correct this morning
Despite me ending up tipping mostly favs, it looks like one of the most competitive Cheltenhams ever, slow and steady will win this race
13:20 - Old Park Star 5/2 win, Talk the Talk 5/1 each way if you're a scumbag
Sometimes the answer is staring you in the face. When Henderson has a weapon in this race, it does the business. Think he's a potential superstar. Also like Talk the Talk but his run style (being produced late) may struggle with the pace Sober Glory is likely to set
14:00 - Kopek Des Bordes 6/4 win
Only 2 horses have won the arkle off 1 run, but he is simply better than all these. 5 year olds have a terrible record and I think Lulamba is a stayer not a 2 miler, Kargese a danger but she had a tough race on a swamp at the Dublin Racing Festival. Sometimes, the answer is oh I already said that
14:40 Ammes 8/1 ew
Feels weird tipping anything here - over the last ten years if you had just put £1 on every horse over 25/1 you'd be £64 up. Winston Junior hits trends but is very very short. I personally would side with Ammes. He finished a narrow 2nd to Minella Study who is 5/1 for the Triumph so 8/1 here feels strong.
But mostly pick a yoke at a big price with an A in their name and you'll outperform my record in the race lol
15:20 - Imperial Saint 25/1, Konfusion 20/1 both e/w
A very wise man has tipped Hyland to me, but I dislike how the trainer wanted to go to another race, the owners forced them to run here. I also like Resplendent Grey (winners of the Charlie Park are 1391913 in this race) but I think he might be quite exposed. This is a very trends driven race and both of these hit every single one, they simply must be played. Konfusion came out strongest in my modelling
16:00 - Lossiemouth 2/1 win, Golden Ace 12/1 ew
I personally wasn't sure that Lossiemouth has the cruising speed to go at 2m championship pace, but the cheek pieces makes me reconsider. Willie Mullins strike rate with 1st time cheek pieces is 65%, and backed blind £1 would put you £17 up. Undefeated at Cheltenham too.
Golden Ace is a great price for a place as BDA has bottled it at Cheltenham twice, and The New Lion is shit, plus she can win if it falls apart as she did last year.
16:40 - Madara, Downmexicoway 8/1 each way
Everyone in the world is backing Madara like we're about to watch the replay, but I personally love the profile of Downmexicoway, Henry has a great record in this race, looks every inch the winner to me
17:20 - Backmeorsackme 9/2 win, Holokea 33/1 ew
Not a race I love (loads of average horses trotting round a ludicrous distance) but favs have a good record here, as does Emmet Mullins who really knows how to lay one out for this.
Holokea may not be good enough, but he has comparable form against this field, and unlike many of them has run well at Cheltenham before which is a massive plus
Day One Mug Treble: Old Park Star/Kopek des Bordes/Lossiemout 25/1
Double: Downmexicoway/Backmeorsackme 51/1 [Post edited 10 Mar 11:40]
|
Nice one Robith! | |
| |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:22 - Mar 10 with 2741 views | Noelmc |
Thanks Robith for the tips and the thinking behind them.
At least the next 4 afternoons will provide a bit of welcome relief from thinking about the awful state of our football club at the moment. Birmingham to win to nil tomorrow at 2-1 certainly looks a value bet at the moment. I couldn't believe Boro were not odds-on (Evens with Betfair Exchange) to win ahead of the match on Sunday. [Post edited 10 Mar 12:26]
|  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:40 - Mar 10 with 2583 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:22 - Mar 10 by Noelmc |
Thanks Robith for the tips and the thinking behind them.
At least the next 4 afternoons will provide a bit of welcome relief from thinking about the awful state of our football club at the moment. Birmingham to win to nil tomorrow at 2-1 certainly looks a value bet at the moment. I couldn't believe Boro were not odds-on (Evens with Betfair Exchange) to win ahead of the match on Sunday. [Post edited 10 Mar 12:26]
|
Thinking of Hunterhoop rn - he put up the Old Park Star/Sober Glory forecast to me a couple of weekends ago and he's just been nabbed | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:54 - Mar 10 with 2414 views | stevec |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:40 - Mar 10 by robith |
Thinking of Hunterhoop rn - he put up the Old Park Star/Sober Glory forecast to me a couple of weekends ago and he's just been nabbed |
Great write up and good luck.
What do you think with No Drama This End tomorrow? It’s a funny looking horse that looks a bit confused at times, but I really rate it. |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:58 - Mar 10 with 2395 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:54 - Mar 10 by stevec |
Great write up and good luck.
What do you think with No Drama This End tomorrow? It’s a funny looking horse that looks a bit confused at times, but I really rate it. |
As a trends guy, I'd be dead against.
Nicholls has a terrible record in this race - he got Denman beat in it ffs
Challow Hurdle winner has a dreadful record in it - New Lion last year only horse to ever do the double.
But English hurdle form looks ok based on today?
Edit to say - never let anyone talk you out of what your eyes have seen [Post edited 10 Mar 15:55]
| | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 17:40 - Mar 10 with 2206 views | Noelmc |
Cheers Robith.
Ended Day 1 slightly up thanks to your tips.
You were just a 'mistake at the last by Kopek' away from cashing in on your ' 25-1 Mug Treble'. | | | |
Login to get fewer ads
| Cheltenham tips here! on 22:47 - Mar 10 with 2034 views | robith |
I thought Kopek was cruising to victory, that peck on landing killed his momentum. Experience told though, and god what a jockey Danny Mullins is
Jonnywho....curse his bloody name! He somehow contrived to get beat in the Kim Muir last year when I needed him as the last leg for 4k. I watched the replay so many times....at the final fence I still think "HOW did he lose this"
I have never seen a day on the markets like it. A lot of chat that AI led betting syndicates moving prices - there were four favourites for the NH Chase. Saratoga placed im the quintessential cheaters hurdle trial for the Fred Winter and was 5/1, drifted off to a mad price despite being JP own, hoses in. Mad stuff
What we learned for tomorrow:
The moving of the final hurdle has made the finish super tight and you simply have to be backing runners up with the pace, hold up horses have been left for dust
The markets have enormously overreacted to the British 1234 in the Supreme. If we looked at the big Irish runners, trends say El Cairos and Mighty Park had no chance based on experience, and Talk the Talk's owners were keen on the Turners tomorrow - in fact most of his form is with that cohort. Bossman Jack now being shorter than Skylight Hustle cos he's English is madness to me | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 10:53 - Mar 11 with 1768 views | tkqpr |
Did anyone get Holloway Queen last race last night?
Looked at it and smiled but didnt bet on it.
For my £7 stake yesterday im up £7 so its all good fun. Not a better really but theres just something about Cheltenham on the telly.
Enjoy all |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:07 - Mar 11 with 1738 views | Watford_Ranger |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 10:53 - Mar 11 by tkqpr |
Did anyone get Holloway Queen last race last night?
Looked at it and smiled but didnt bet on it.
For my £7 stake yesterday im up £7 so its all good fun. Not a better really but theres just something about Cheltenham on the telly.
Enjoy all |
Stuck it in a freebie acca which had already lost.
My horse racing knowledge is close to zero but I’ve been told I’ll Sort That in the 1:20 is worth an each-way bet though the price has come in a fair bit since yesterday so that’s in today’s freebie acca. [Post edited 11 Mar 11:15]
| | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:19 - Mar 11 with 1707 views | Watford_Ranger |
Perhaps Stephán will be having a punt on Relieved of Duties in the 4:40 | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:33 - Mar 11 with 1667 views | robith |
Day 2 looks really tricky - save your funds to have a big crack at the big fav treble on Thursday
13:20 Skylight Hustle, I'll Sort That
There has been a huge overreaction to the Supreme result where mediocre English horses have become massively overated. I am very against the fav. With this race being full, and 4 place, there looks like bundles of value. I backed Zeus Power at 100/1 ante post but he looks mighty short now. Skylight Hustle is a horse that I've enjoyed all season, but I can not fathom why I'll Sort That is the price he is - bigger than Sortudo who he battered at Naas. Front runner, huge staying engine, he's massively my idea of the winner and 4 places at the prices give you profit making insurance
14:00 Western Fold, Predator's Gold
The top of the market looks rank - Final Demand is a bottle job, Romeo Coolio has been running at 2m all season, Wendigo's form has no substance. Elliot's horses have been running rank, but I like the profile of Western Fold with his extensive experience that counts for a lot here, and he gets his favoured ground.
Then at a big price, I can't get away from Predator's Gold. Whilst not the highest class, he is tough as nails, Danny Mullins got an upset on Kargese yesterday, and his form looks brilliant. Each way with a shot to upset EDIT: And he's a non runner
14:40 Kopek du Mee 10/1 ew
I have been betting on Cheltenham for 13 years. I have never backed the winner of this race. So I only have one angle in here. Mullins runners at the festival making either their seasonal debut or having had one run all season have an insane strike rate, especially in the handicaps (Kargese and Jimmy du Seiul last year, Lossiemouth in the mares, Poinross in the Triumph). Sony Bill also fits the bill here, but he looks like he might just not be good enough
15:20 Final Orders 17/2 ew, Favori du Champadou for a double
Final Orders as this race rewards specialists and the winner of the December X Country race here have an incredible record. FDC has to be respected but is too short
16:00 Majborough for a double Captain Guinness ew
Majborough should win, but he has a habit of throwing in a couple of howlers, so we need to take him on. Captain Guinness is old now, but 2m chasing is a specialism. His record in this race is 3213 so at 50/1 we can chance the each way knowing he can pick up the pieces here
16:40 Vanderpoel 8/1 ew Break My Soul 16/1 ew
Have been following Vanderpoel all season, and love an improving English horse for this race. From across the sea Break My Soul has some incredible back form that belies their price
17:20 Love Sign D'Anou 5/1, The Wager 50/1 ew
Sometimes it's obvious - the highest rated horse in the bumper has won 7/12 runnings, so hard to dispute the fav. However, few ride bumpers better than Jody Townend, so 50/1 each way for The Wager feels like a no brainer to me
Multiples
I'd do the Majborough/FDC double around 5/1
Skylight Hustle/Western fold ew double 155/1
Lucky 15 - I'll Sort That, Kopek du Mee, Vanderpoel, Love Sign D'Anou - 9,719/1 | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:02 - Mar 11 with 1614 views | thehat |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:33 - Mar 11 by robith |
Day 2 looks really tricky - save your funds to have a big crack at the big fav treble on Thursday
13:20 Skylight Hustle, I'll Sort That
There has been a huge overreaction to the Supreme result where mediocre English horses have become massively overated. I am very against the fav. With this race being full, and 4 place, there looks like bundles of value. I backed Zeus Power at 100/1 ante post but he looks mighty short now. Skylight Hustle is a horse that I've enjoyed all season, but I can not fathom why I'll Sort That is the price he is - bigger than Sortudo who he battered at Naas. Front runner, huge staying engine, he's massively my idea of the winner and 4 places at the prices give you profit making insurance
14:00 Western Fold, Predator's Gold
The top of the market looks rank - Final Demand is a bottle job, Romeo Coolio has been running at 2m all season, Wendigo's form has no substance. Elliot's horses have been running rank, but I like the profile of Western Fold with his extensive experience that counts for a lot here, and he gets his favoured ground.
Then at a big price, I can't get away from Predator's Gold. Whilst not the highest class, he is tough as nails, Danny Mullins got an upset on Kargese yesterday, and his form looks brilliant. Each way with a shot to upset EDIT: And he's a non runner
14:40 Kopek du Mee 10/1 ew
I have been betting on Cheltenham for 13 years. I have never backed the winner of this race. So I only have one angle in here. Mullins runners at the festival making either their seasonal debut or having had one run all season have an insane strike rate, especially in the handicaps (Kargese and Jimmy du Seiul last year, Lossiemouth in the mares, Poinross in the Triumph). Sony Bill also fits the bill here, but he looks like he might just not be good enough
15:20 Final Orders 17/2 ew, Favori du Champadou for a double
Final Orders as this race rewards specialists and the winner of the December X Country race here have an incredible record. FDC has to be respected but is too short
16:00 Majborough for a double Captain Guinness ew
Majborough should win, but he has a habit of throwing in a couple of howlers, so we need to take him on. Captain Guinness is old now, but 2m chasing is a specialism. His record in this race is 3213 so at 50/1 we can chance the each way knowing he can pick up the pieces here
16:40 Vanderpoel 8/1 ew Break My Soul 16/1 ew
Have been following Vanderpoel all season, and love an improving English horse for this race. From across the sea Break My Soul has some incredible back form that belies their price
17:20 Love Sign D'Anou 5/1, The Wager 50/1 ew
Sometimes it's obvious - the highest rated horse in the bumper has won 7/12 runnings, so hard to dispute the fav. However, few ride bumpers better than Jody Townend, so 50/1 each way for The Wager feels like a no brainer to me
Multiples
I'd do the Majborough/FDC double around 5/1
Skylight Hustle/Western fold ew double 155/1
Lucky 15 - I'll Sort That, Kopek du Mee, Vanderpoel, Love Sign D'Anou - 9,719/1 |
Robith - Some great info there thank you.
I have an afternoon in front of the TV so that will help me immensely.
What's your prediction for tonight at St Andrews? | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:18 - Mar 11 with 1585 views | robith |
Also the Skeltons seem to have the handicapper on strings so 51/1 for the each way double of Katiera and Be Aware, they pulled off the same double in 2024 with Langer Dan (the biggest cheat in history lol) and Unexpected Party | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:23 - Mar 11 with 1561 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:02 - Mar 11 by thehat |
Robith - Some great info there thank you.
I have an afternoon in front of the TV so that will help me immensely.
What's your prediction for tonight at St Andrews? |
Brum win, over 2.5 feels a banker? | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:27 - Mar 11 with 1521 views | GaryBannister86 |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:18 - Mar 11 by robith |
Also the Skeltons seem to have the handicapper on strings so 51/1 for the each way double of Katiera and Be Aware, they pulled off the same double in 2024 with Langer Dan (the biggest cheat in history lol) and Unexpected Party |
A million apologies mate, had backed that double for the exact same reasons earlier this morning. Sorry to kybosh, as I never win.
I like the Skeltons a lot, but it's funny in racing how some trainers get nailed for handicap shenanigans, and others, just like Prescott on the flat...just do it time after time and not a word is uttered. Not that I could care less, I know they have to make it pay. |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:30 - Mar 11 with 1504 views | robith |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 12:27 - Mar 11 by GaryBannister86 |
A million apologies mate, had backed that double for the exact same reasons earlier this morning. Sorry to kybosh, as I never win.
I like the Skeltons a lot, but it's funny in racing how some trainers get nailed for handicap shenanigans, and others, just like Prescott on the flat...just do it time after time and not a word is uttered. Not that I could care less, I know they have to make it pay. |
The English handicapper lets Skelton take the absolute piss cos he's the only English trainer with the ability and the guts to stick it up to the Irish, it's actually really hurting Gordon Elliot cos his horses are now handicapped on what he's done in the past rather than the horses ability, yet they let Skelton mug everyone off with Langer Dan twice.
The biggest cheer of the day on his second win was the tannoy announcement "Would Mr D Skelton please make his way to the stewards room" | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:41 - Mar 11 with 1369 views | Watford_Ranger |
Looked good for a while, pipped for a place at the end. Oh well we go again with the £2.50 e/w lucky 15 tomorrow to win £50k | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 13:54 - Mar 11 with 1343 views | stevec |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 14:58 - Mar 10 by robith |
As a trends guy, I'd be dead against.
Nicholls has a terrible record in this race - he got Denman beat in it ffs
Challow Hurdle winner has a dreadful record in it - New Lion last year only horse to ever do the double.
But English hurdle form looks ok based on today?
Edit to say - never let anyone talk you out of what your eyes have seen [Post edited 10 Mar 15:55]
|
You weren’t wrong!! 😂 | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 15:31 - Mar 11 with 1185 views | robith |
FINAL ORDERS | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:12 - Mar 12 with 813 views | thehat |
Any insight for today Robith - Really enjoyed your views on the runners and riders.
Just lumped on Leicester at 5/4 on Betfair Exchange - Dead cert that!!! | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 11:48 - Mar 12 with 732 views | W7Ranger |
Any tips for today chaps? |  | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 15:57 - Mar 13 with 263 views | Watford_Ranger |
The house always wins but this week it really has taken the piss. A good week if you like picking fun names. Especially if your name happens to be Johnny. | | | |
| Cheltenham tips here! on 17:13 - Mar 13 with 185 views | Phildo |
I've had a tip for Sainte Lucie in the bumper - its 40-1 so e/w and be prepared to say farewell to your ££ |  | | |
| |
By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions.
